My favorite awards show each year is the
Independent Spirit Awards, and as always,
I take it upon myself to write up this preview/predictions article to try and make some sense of what is always a unique awards show (obviously it's on the blog this year, but that's just due to time constraints and a small technical difficulty).
It doesn’t usually have any bearing on Oscar, but it’s one of the hardest precursors (if you can call it that) to accurately predict, so it’s interesting to do this and then compare come Saturday night.
As for how the awards themselves might go, well…let’s jump right in.
‘Winter’s Bone’ led the nominations with 7, followed by ‘The Kids Are All Right’ with 5, so keep an eye on those.
'Black Swan' picked up 4 nods, and ‘127 Hours' didn’t do shabby either, so don’t count them out.
This is really a closer race than usual in a lot of categories, but there’s still some method to the prediction madness, so here we go:
Best Feature-
The nominees are 127 Hours, Black Swan, Greenberg, The Kids Are All Right, and Winter’s Bone.
I think it’s safe to say that Greenberg is out of it (sadly), with 127 Hours and Black Swan looming as long shot spoilers (more so Black Swan).
This brings the race down to The Kids Are All Right and Winter’s Bone, and with the latter doing well earlier this season at the Gotham Awards, I’m going to take a cue from them and say that the big prize of the night is going to go to it.
Will Win:
Winter’s Bone
Might Win: The Kids Are All Right
Should Win: Black Swan
Should have been nominated: Blue Valentine
The rest after the jump...
Here are all the winners:
